I’ve Been Thinking
Posted: 29 November 2010 07:18 PM   [ Ignore ]  
Administrator
Avatar
RankRankRankRankRank
Total Posts:  20809
Joined  2006-10-07

I know that’s a dangerous thing for S3 to do, but, nevertheless, that’s what I’ve been doing.

Much has been made on how soft the schedule was, but something clicked in my head. No, it wasn’t a flash back from an acid trip in the ‘60’s. It was more along the lines of how the NFL makes up the schedule from year to year. It also plays into BS’s least favorite term: parity.

What the NFL does is arrange the schedule so the least performing teams get a softer schedule. It occurred to me that rather than the Bears playing down to their opponents maybe it was a real refection of how good they are. So I took a look at last year’s records.

Two of the Bears’ three losses came against teams that were less than .500 last year: Washington and Seattle. The Bears themselves were less than .500 last year. Of the 8 wins, only three came against teams that were less than .500. The other five wins were against teams that went 53-27 last season for a .663 percentage.

Are we looking at this team through the wrong end of the telescope?

 Signature 

I only watch TV if someone is keeping score.

“Violence is the last refuge of the incompetent” - Isaac Asimov

“Outside of a dog, a book is a man’s best friend. Inside of a dog, it’s too dark to read.” - Groucho Marx

Ubi caritas et amor, deus ibi est

Matthew 7:1

It’s better to remain silent and be thought a fool than open ones mouth and remove all doubt. MT

Profile
 
 
Posted: 29 November 2010 08:41 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 1 ]  
All Star
Avatar
RankRankRank
Total Posts:  3936
Joined  2007-12-12
SouthSideSlim - 29 November 2010 07:18 PM

Are we looking at this team through the wrong end of the telescope?

I think we’re looking at a team that in consecutive weeks had its quarterback beaten like a pinata.  Closing at home with the Patriots, Jets and at the Packers has me looking at a 2-3 finish.

 Signature 

"It is not the critic who counts: not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles or where the doer of deeds could have done better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood, who strives valiantly, who errs and comes up short again and again, because there is no effort without error or shortcoming, but who knows the great enthusiasms, the great devotions, who spends himself for a worthy cause.” Teddy Roosevelt

Profile
 
 
Posted: 29 November 2010 08:51 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 2 ]  
Administrator
Avatar
RankRankRankRankRank
Total Posts:  20809
Joined  2006-10-07
dui_attorney - 29 November 2010 08:41 PM

SouthSideSlim - 29 November 2010 07:18 PM
Are we looking at this team through the wrong end of the telescope?

I think we’re looking at a team that in consecutive weeks had its quarterback beaten like a pinata.  Closing at home with the Patriots, Jets and at the Packers has me looking at a 2-3 finish.

And I tend to agree with you. Still, what would we think if we beat two of those teams and ended up 4-1 down the stretch? This is coming from someone that thought we might go 0-fer.

 Signature 

I only watch TV if someone is keeping score.

“Violence is the last refuge of the incompetent” - Isaac Asimov

“Outside of a dog, a book is a man’s best friend. Inside of a dog, it’s too dark to read.” - Groucho Marx

Ubi caritas et amor, deus ibi est

Matthew 7:1

It’s better to remain silent and be thought a fool than open ones mouth and remove all doubt. MT

Profile
 
 
Posted: 29 November 2010 10:03 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 3 ]  
MVP
Avatar
RankRankRankRank
Total Posts:  6749
Joined  2010-03-17

I would tend to agree that 2-3 is likely (beating the Lions and the MDQ but losing to the Jets, Patriots and Packers). But then again, even with a 2-3 finish, they’d still end up 10-6 which is usually good enough to win a playoff spot. Although finishing 2-3 doesn’t usually bode well momentum-wise going into the playoffs. Either way, I still don’t think they get past the first playoff game.

You ask what if they go 4-1? Or even 3-2? Well, that would put them in a hell of a position playoff-wise. I really doubt that’s going to happen though. While some may scoff, going 0-5 or 1-4 is also very possible too. Which would mean either 8-8 or 9-7. 8-8 would definitely mean no playoffs, 9-7 would be a very slim chance.. but likely means they’d miss.

 Signature 

Bain sult as an lá

There are 2 kinds of people in the world: Those who put people into 2 groups and those who don’t.

Profile
 
 
Posted: 30 November 2010 11:39 AM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 4 ]  
All Star
Avatar
RankRankRank
Total Posts:  2164
Joined  2006-11-27

I don’t know that 10-6 gets it done this year with the Saints, Giants and Packers vying for a playoff spot along with the Bears.  Bears need to take care of business by beating the Lions and Vikings, a find a way to win 1 out of 3 against the Pats, Jets and Packers.

My guess is, they’ll get it done, but it’s only a guess.

 Signature 

http://www.chicagonow.com/peanut-gallery/

Profile